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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Peterhead v Alloa Athletic: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · Balmoor
2–1
FT
Peterhead 43%Draw 22%Alloa Athletic 34% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.05
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPeterhead to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.25

Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alloa Athletic travel to face Peterhead on Saturday 31 October in the League One, with Balmoor the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Peterhead are 7th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Peterhead, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Montrose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Alloa Athletic, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Queen of the South, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Alloa Athletic 1–1 Peterhead. The last 2 head-to-heads: Peterhead 1 win, Alloa Athletic 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Peterhead 1.2 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Peterhead 43%, draw 22%, Alloa Athletic 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Alloa Athletic to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peterhead 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Peterhead43%fair 2.30 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Alloa Athletic34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
2.29Expected goals
1.24Peterhead xG
1.05Alloa Athletic xG
58%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Peterhead 1.2 – 1.1 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPeterhead to win ✓43%2.302.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.60
Draw no betPeterhead (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scorePeterhead to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Peterhead / FT Peterhead ✓23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.25–

Recent results

Peterhead – last 6

LWWLLL
24 Oct@ Montrose0–3L
17 Octvs Cove Rangers2–0W
13 Octvs Rangers U211–0W
10 Octvs Queen of the South0–1L
3 Oct@ Hamilton Academical1–2L
26 Sepvs Elgin City0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Alloa Athletic – last 6

LWDLLD
24 Octvs Queen of the South0–1L
17 Oct@ East Fife3–0W
13 Oct@ Annan Athletic0–0D
10 Octvs Hamilton Academical0–3L
3 Oct@ Ross County1–4L
26 Sepvs Gala Fairydean Rovers2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Alloa Athletic v Peterhead1–1
10 Mar 2026Peterhead v Alloa Athletic3–1
Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?

On our numbers Peterhead have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 34%.

How many goals will there be in Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?

Our predicted score is Peterhead 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic?

Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Balmoor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.