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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alloa Athletic v Airdrie United: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · Recreation Park
2–3
FT
Alloa Athletic 38%Draw 21%Airdrie United 41% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.28
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAirdrie United to win ✓41% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16

Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alloa Athletic welcome Airdrie United to Recreation Park for a League One fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Alloa Athletic are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Airdrie United are 5th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Alloa Athletic, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Clydebank, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Airdrie United, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Elgin City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Airdrie United, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Alloa Athletic.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Airdrie United 1–0 Alloa Athletic. The last 2 head-to-heads: Alloa Athletic 1 win, Airdrie United 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 1.2 xG, Airdrie United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 38%, draw 21%, Airdrie United 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 1–1 Airdrie United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alloa Athletic38%fair 2.63 · @2.71
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Airdrie United41%fair 2.43 · @2.16
2.50Expected goals
1.21Alloa Athletic xG
1.28Airdrie United xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.2 – 1.3 Airdrie United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAirdrie United to win ✓41%2.432.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.65
Draw no betAirdrie United (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.88
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.381.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.151.08
First team to scoreAirdrie United to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Airdrie United / FT Airdrie United ✓22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.16–

Recent results

Alloa Athletic – last 6

LLLWDL
3 Nov@ Clydebank0–1L
31 Oct@ Peterhead1–2L
24 Octvs Queen of the South0–1L
17 Oct@ East Fife3–0W
13 Oct@ Annan Athletic0–0D
10 Octvs Hamilton Academical0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Airdrie United – last 6

WLLLWD
3 Novvs Elgin City5–0W
31 Octvs Cove Rangers0–1L
24 Oct@ Ross County0–4L
17 Octvs Hamilton Academical1–2L
13 Octvs Hearts U213–2W
10 Oct@ East Kilbride2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Sep 2026Airdrie United v Alloa Athletic1–0
5 May 2026Alloa Athletic v Airdrie United1–0
Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?

On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Airdrie United 41%.

How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?

Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–1 Airdrie United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?

Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.