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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Kilbride v Alloa Athletic: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · K-Park Training Academy
Sat 14 Nov 2026
East Kilbride 58%Draw 22%Alloa Athletic 20% Expected goals 1.92 – 1.02
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultEast Kilbride to win58% · @1.60
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.06

East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alloa Athletic travel to face East Kilbride on Saturday 14 November in the League One, with K-Park Training Academy the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, East Kilbride are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

East Kilbride, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Queen of the South, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Alloa Athletic, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Airdrie United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours East Kilbride, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Alloa Athletic.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Sep 2026) it ended Alloa Athletic 1–2 East Kilbride.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 1.9 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 58%, draw 22%, Alloa Athletic 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: East Kilbride or draw (80%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Kilbride58%fair 1.73 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.90
Alloa Athletic20%fair 5.10 · @4.33
2.94Expected goals
1.92East Kilbride xG
1.02Alloa Athletic xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: East Kilbride 1.9 – 1.0 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

East KilbrideAlloa Athletic
Attack vs League One average+11%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-6%+6%
Our expected goals here1.921.00

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEast Kilbride to win58%1.731.60
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw80%1.241.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.651.62
Draw no betEast Kilbride (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic +1.5 (Asian handicap)66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.241.20
First team to scoreEast Kilbride to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultEast Kilbride ahead at half-time43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.06–

Recent results

East Kilbride – last 6

WWLDWD
7 Nov@ Queen of the South2–1W
3 Novvs Stirling Albion7–3W
31 Octvs Ross County1–2L
17 Octvs Montrose1–1D
13 Octvs Kelty Hearts2–1W
10 Octvs Airdrie United2–2D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Alloa Athletic – last 6

LLLLWD
7 Novvs Airdrie United2–3L
3 Nov@ Clydebank0–1L
31 Oct@ Peterhead1–2L
24 Octvs Queen of the South0–1L
17 Oct@ East Fife3–0W
13 Oct@ Annan Athletic0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Sep 2026Alloa Athletic v East Kilbride1–2
East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic?

On our numbers East Kilbride have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 20%.

How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic?

Our predicted score is East Kilbride 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic?

East Kilbride vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.