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Carolina Ascent W v Tampa Bay Sun W: numbers & prediction

USL Super League · USA · American Legion Memorial Stadium
Carolina Ascent W 62%Draw 24%Tampa Bay Sun W 14% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.88
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCarolina Ascent W to win ✗62% · @1.53
Double chanceCarolina Ascent W or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.35

Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carolina Ascent W welcome Tampa Bay Sun W to American Legion Memorial Stadium for a USL Super League fixture on Sunday 30 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Carolina Ascent W are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Tampa Bay Sun W are 7th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Carolina Ascent W, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dallas Trinity W, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tampa Bay Sun W, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sporting JAX W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Carolina Ascent W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Tampa Bay Sun W.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Tampa Bay Sun W 1–2 Carolina Ascent W. The last 2 head-to-heads: Carolina Ascent W 2 wins, Tampa Bay Sun W 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carolina Ascent W 2.0 xG, Tampa Bay Sun W 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Carolina Ascent W 62%, draw 24%, Tampa Bay Sun W 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carolina Ascent W 2–0 Tampa Bay Sun W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carolina Ascent W62%fair 1.61 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.70
Tampa Bay Sun W14%fair 7.00 · @5.25
2.89Expected goals
2.01Carolina Ascent W xG
0.88Tampa Bay Sun W xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Carolina Ascent W 2.0 – 0.9 Tampa Bay Sun W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarolina Ascent W to win ✗62%1.611.53
Double chanceCarolina Ascent W or draw ✗86%1.171.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.83
Draw no betCarolina Ascent W (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapCarolina Ascent W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.14
First team to scoreCarolina Ascent W to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultCarolina Ascent W ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carolina Ascent W / FT Carolina Ascent W ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%13.35–

Recent results

Carolina Ascent W – last 6

WWDWWW
23 Aug@ Dallas Trinity W3–1W
16 Aug@ DC Power W1–0W
31 May@ Lexington W1–1D
24 May@ Sporting JAX W1–0W
17 Mayvs Sporting JAX W3–1W
10 May@ Fort Lauderdale United W3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Sun W – last 6

LDLWLL
23 Aug@ Sporting JAX W2–3L
16 Aug@ Dallas Trinity W1–1D
10 Mayvs Dallas Trinity W0–2L
3 May@ Fort Lauderdale United W2–1W
26 Aprvs Carolina Ascent W1–2L
12 Aprvs DC Power W0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Sun W v Carolina Ascent W1–2
14 Mar 2026Carolina Ascent W v Tampa Bay Sun W1–0
Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W head-to-head page →

USL Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W12831+1227
2DC Power W11623+520
3Sporting JAX W11452+517
4Dallas Trinity W11434015
5Lexington W11425+314
6Brooklyn W11335-812
7Tampa Bay Sun W11245-510
8Fort Lauderdale United W12228-128

More USL Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

On our numbers Carolina Ascent W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tampa Bay Sun W 14%.

How many goals will there be in Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Our predicted score is Carolina Ascent W 2–0 Tampa Bay Sun W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Carolina Ascent W vs Tampa Bay Sun W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.