Value bet: Lexington W to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting JAX W to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting JAX W welcome Lexington W to Hodges Stadium for a USL Super League fixture on Sunday 20 September (22:00 WAT). In the table, Sporting JAX W are 3rd, among the top four, on 17 points after 11 matches; Lexington W are 5th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sporting JAX W, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Brooklyn W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Lexington W, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Carolina Ascent W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX W 1.5 xG, Lexington W 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX W 46%, draw 22%, Lexington W 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Lexington W to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX W 1–1 Lexington W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting JAX W46%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Lexington W33%fair 3.05 · @3.25
2.77Expected goals
1.52Sporting JAX W xG
1.24Lexington W xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX W 1.5 – 1.2 Lexington W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting JAX W to win✗
46%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
Sporting JAX W (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Lexington W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Sporting JAX W to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting JAX W / FT Sporting JAX W✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Sporting JAX W – last 6
LDWWWL
13 Sep
@ Brooklyn W
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ DC Power W
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Dallas Trinity W
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Tampa Bay Sun W
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Fort Lauderdale United W
1–0
W
23 Jun
vs TLH Reckoning W
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lexington W – last 6
LLWDWD
12 Sep
vs Carolina Ascent W
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs DC Power W
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Brooklyn W
3–0
W
31 May
vs Carolina Ascent W
1–1
D
24 May
vs Dallas Trinity W
2–0
W
3 May
@ Spokane Zephyr W
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting JAX W and Lexington W.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W?
On our numbers Sporting JAX W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lexington W 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX W 1–1 Lexington W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W?
Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
