Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the USL Super League brings Lexington W against Sporting JAX W at Toyota Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Lexington W are 5th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Sporting JAX W are 3rd (among the top four) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lexington W, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tampa Bay Sun W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sporting JAX W, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Fort Lauderdale United W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Sporting JAX W 0–1 Lexington W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lexington W 1.5 xG, Sporting JAX W 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington W 44%, draw 22%, Sporting JAX W 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington W 1–1 Sporting JAX W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lexington W44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Sporting JAX W34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
2.80Expected goals
1.52Lexington W xG
1.29Sporting JAX W xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lexington W 1.5 – 1.3 Sporting JAX W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
On our numbers Lexington W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting JAX W 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
Our predicted score is Lexington W 1–1 Sporting JAX W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?
Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W (USL Super League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.