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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lexington W v Sporting JAX W: numbers & prediction

USL Super League · USA · Toyota Stadium
3–3
FT
Lexington W 44%Draw 22%Sporting JAX W 34% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.29
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLexington W to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the USL Super League brings Lexington W against Sporting JAX W at Toyota Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Lexington W are 5th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Sporting JAX W are 3rd (among the top four) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lexington W, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tampa Bay Sun W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sporting JAX W, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Fort Lauderdale United W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Sporting JAX W 0–1 Lexington W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lexington W 1.5 xG, Sporting JAX W 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington W 44%, draw 22%, Sporting JAX W 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington W 1–1 Sporting JAX W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lexington W44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Sporting JAX W34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
2.80Expected goals
1.52Lexington W xG
1.29Sporting JAX W xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Lexington W 1.5 – 1.3 Sporting JAX W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLexington W to win ✗44%2.252.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.73
Draw no betLexington W (draw no bet)57%1.77–
Asian handicapSporting JAX W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.191.12
First team to scoreLexington W to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lexington W / FT Lexington W ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Lexington W – last 6

WLDWWL
18 Octvs Tampa Bay Sun W2–1W
12 Oct@ Fort Lauderdale United W1–2L
4 Oct@ Tampa Bay Sun W1–1D
26 Sepvs Dallas Trinity W3–0W
20 Sep@ Sporting JAX W1–0W
12 Sepvs Carolina Ascent W0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sporting JAX W – last 6

WDLLDW
17 Octvs Fort Lauderdale United W4–1W
27 Sep@ Carolina Ascent W3–3D
20 Sepvs Lexington W0–1L
13 Sep@ Brooklyn W2–3L
5 Sep@ DC Power W1–1D
30 Augvs Dallas Trinity W2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Sep 2026Sporting JAX W v Lexington W0–1
Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W head-to-head page →

USL Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W12831+1227
2DC Power W11623+520
3Sporting JAX W11452+517
4Dallas Trinity W11434015
5Lexington W11425+314
6Brooklyn W11335-812
7Tampa Bay Sun W11245-510
8Fort Lauderdale United W12228-128

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?

On our numbers Lexington W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting JAX W 34%.

How many goals will there be in Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?

Our predicted score is Lexington W 1–1 Sporting JAX W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W?

Lexington W vs Sporting JAX W (USL Super League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.