Arsenal 77%Draw 16%Coventry 7%Expected goals 2.47 – 0.63
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal to win ✓77% · @1.16
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 8.82
Arsenal vs Coventry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 21 August: Arsenal v Coventry in the Premier League, played at Emirates Stadium. In the table, Arsenal are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; Coventry are 17th (lower half) with 9. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Manchester City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Coventry, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Monaco, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Coventry, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Arsenal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal 2.5 xG, Coventry 0.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal 77%, draw 16%, Coventry 7%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal 2–0 Coventry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal77%fair 1.29 · @1.16
Draw16%fair 6.44 · @6.80
Coventry7%fair 14.24 · @16.00
3.10Expected goals
2.47Arsenal xG
0.63Coventry xG
49%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal 2.5 – 0.6 Coventry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
77%
1.29
1.16
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.50
Draw no bet
Arsenal (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Arsenal to score first✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Arsenal ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✓
54%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
11%
8.82
–
Recent results
Arsenal – last 6
WDLLWW
16 Aug
vs Manchester City
3–0
W
12 Aug
vs Como
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Real Betis
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Girona
4–1
W
24 May
@ Crystal Palace
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Coventry – last 6
WWDWWW
14 Aug
vs Monaco
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Espanyol
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Northampton
0–0
D
2 May
@ Watford
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Wrexham
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Portsmouth
5–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and Coventry.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Arsenal vs Coventry?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Coventry 7%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Coventry?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Coventry?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 2–0 Coventry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Coventry?
Arsenal vs Coventry (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
