Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Aston Villa to win @ 3.20 – our chance 40% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa to win ✗40% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Brighton vs Aston Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Brighton v Aston Villa in the Premier League, played at American Express Stadium. In the table, Brighton are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Aston Villa are 10th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Brighton, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tromso, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aston Villa, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Borussia Mönchengladbach, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Brighton, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Aston Villa.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton 39%, draw 22%, Aston Villa 40%.
Price worth noting: Aston Villa to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (78%, odds 1.30). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brighton39%fair 2.58 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Aston Villa40%fair 2.53 · @3.20
Score grid: top six
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✗
40%
2.53
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Draw no bet
Aston Villa (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Recent results
Brighton – last 6
DWWWLL
20 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Bologna
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs AS Roma
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Strasbourg
4–3
W
24 May
vs Manchester United
0–3
L
17 May
@ Leeds
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 6
LLLWLL
15 Aug
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–2
L
12 Aug
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ BG Pathum United
3–1
W
28 Jul
vs Real Sociedad
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ FC Porto
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Aston Villa.
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Brighton vs Aston Villa?
On our numbers Brighton have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aston Villa 40%.
When is Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Brighton vs Aston Villa (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at American Express Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
