Tottenham 37%Draw 21%Newcastle 42%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.81
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Newcastle to win @ 2.88 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle to win ✓42% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Tottenham vs Newcastle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Tottenham v Newcastle in the Premier League, played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. In the table, Tottenham are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Newcastle are 12th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tottenham, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Charlton, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Newcastle, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over West Brom, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tottenham, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Newcastle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tottenham 1.7 xG, Newcastle 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tottenham 37%, draw 21%, Newcastle 42%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Newcastle to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tottenham 1–1 Newcastle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tottenham37%fair 2.71 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Newcastle42%fair 2.37 · @2.88
3.50Expected goals
1.69Tottenham xG
1.81Newcastle xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Tottenham 1.7 – 1.8 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✓
42%
2.37
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Draw no bet
Newcastle (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Tottenham +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Newcastle to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Tottenham – last 6
WLDWDW
26 Aug
vs Charlton
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Brentford
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Getafe
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Chelsea
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Newcastle – last 6
WDDLLW
26 Aug
vs West Brom
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Liverpool
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Strasbourg
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
12 Aug
vs Everton
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Valencia
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tottenham and Newcastle.
What is the prediction for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tottenham vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Tottenham have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newcastle 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Our predicted score is Tottenham 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Tottenham vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
