Arsenal 59%Draw 23%Chelsea 17%Expected goals 2.56 – 1.44
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.57
Arsenal vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Premier League brings Arsenal against Chelsea at Emirates Stadium. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Arsenal are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; Chelsea are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Arsenal, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aston Villa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chelsea, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Brighton, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Chelsea, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Arsenal.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal 2.6 xG, Chelsea 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal 59%, draw 23%, Chelsea 17%.
Lower-risk option: Arsenal or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.75
Chelsea17%fair 5.73 · @4.60
4.00Expected goals
2.56Arsenal xG
1.44Chelsea xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Arsenal 2.6 – 1.4 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Arsenal vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelsea 17%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Chelsea?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
