Ipswich vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the Premier League brings Ipswich against Liverpool at Portman Road. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Ipswich are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Liverpool are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Ipswich, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Manchester United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Liverpool, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nottingham Forest, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ipswich, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Liverpool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ipswich 1.2 xG, Liverpool 2.8 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ipswich 13%, draw 18%, Liverpool 69%.
Lower-risk option: Liverpool or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ipswich 1–2 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ipswich13%fair 7.95 · @5.50
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.65
Liverpool69%fair 1.45 · @1.48
3.94Expected goals
1.18Ipswich xG
2.76Liverpool xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Ipswich 1.2 – 2.8 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Double chance
Liverpool or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.55
Draw no bet
Liverpool (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Liverpool -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.30
First team to score
Liverpool to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Liverpool ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Ipswich – last 6
LWWWWW
30 Aug
@ Manchester United
2–5
L
25 Aug
vs Leicester
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Sunderland
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Union Berlin
4–2
W
8 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
3–0
W
4 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
DDDLLW
29 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Newcastle
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Como
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
2 Aug
vs Leeds
2–4
L
30 Jul
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ipswich and Liverpool.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ipswich vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Ipswich have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Liverpool 69%.
How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Liverpool?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Ipswich 1–2 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Ipswich vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
