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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brentford v Chelsea: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Gtech Community Stadium
3–0
FT

Chelsea

DWLWW
Brentford 37%Draw 21%Chelsea 42% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.93
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelsea to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55

Brentford vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 18 September the Premier League brings Brentford against Chelsea at Gtech Community Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Brentford are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Chelsea are 5th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Brentford, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Reading, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Chelsea, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hull City, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brentford 1.8 xG, Chelsea 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brentford 37%, draw 21%, Chelsea 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brentford 1–1 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brentford37%fair 2.67 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
Chelsea42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
3.75Expected goals
1.82Brentford xG
1.93Chelsea xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Brentford 1.8 – 1.9 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea to win ✗42%2.402.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.451.40
Draw no betChelsea (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapBrentford +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
First team to scoreChelsea to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea / FT Chelsea ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.55–

Recent results

Brentford – last 6

WDDDWW
15 Sep@ Reading2–1W
12 Sep@ Bournemouth2–2D
5 Sepvs Sunderland1–1D
30 Aug@ Leeds1–1D
25 Aug@ Birmingham6–1W
22 Augvs Tottenham3–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chelsea – last 6

DWLWWW
12 Sepvs Hull City2–2D
9 Sepvs Leeds6–3W
6 Sep@ Arsenal1–2L
30 Augvs Brighton4–3W
27 Augvs Luton2–0W
24 Aug@ Fulham3–2W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brentford and Chelsea.

Brentford vs Chelsea head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brentford vs Chelsea?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Brentford vs Chelsea?

On our numbers Brentford have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelsea 42%.

How many goals will there be in Brentford vs Chelsea?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Chelsea?

Our predicted score is Brentford 1–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Brentford vs Chelsea?

Brentford vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gtech Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.