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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Liverpool v Arsenal: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Anfield
0–1
FT

Arsenal

DWDWW
Liverpool 37%Draw 23%Arsenal 41% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.20
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal to win ✓41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.63

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal travel to face Liverpool on Sunday 1 November in the Premier League, with Anfield the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Liverpool are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Arsenal are 1st (leading the league) with 27.

Current form

Liverpool, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelsea, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Arsenal, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fleetwood Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool 1.1 xG, Arsenal 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool 37%, draw 23%, Arsenal 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool 1–1 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liverpool37%fair 2.73 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Arsenal41%fair 2.45 · @2.38
2.31Expected goals
1.11Liverpool xG
1.20Arsenal xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Liverpool 1.1 – 1.2 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal to win ✓41%2.452.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.65
Draw no betArsenal (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapLiverpool +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreArsenal to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✓22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.63–

Recent results

Liverpool – last 6

DWWWWL
28 Octvs Chelsea1–1D
25 Octvs Brighton2–0W
20 Octvs Villarreal4–3W
17 Oct@ Brentford2–1W
14 Oct@ Lask Linz6–3W
11 Octvs Manchester City0–3L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arsenal – last 6

DWDWWW
27 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–1D
24 Octvs Everton2–0W
21 Oct@ Bayern München2–2D
18 Oct@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
13 Octvs Lille3–0W
10 Octvs Leeds2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Liverpool and Arsenal.

Liverpool vs Arsenal head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

On our numbers Liverpool have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal 41%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our predicted score is Liverpool 1–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Liverpool vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.