Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Everton to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Newcastle vs Everton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 November the Premier League brings Newcastle against Everton at St. James' Park. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Newcastle are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Everton are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Newcastle, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Everton, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Everton, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Newcastle, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Everton, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Newcastle.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Oct 2026) it ended Everton 3–1 Newcastle. The last 2 head-to-heads: Newcastle 0 wins, Everton 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 1.4 xG, Everton 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 41%, draw 21%, Everton 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Everton to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 1–1 Everton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Everton38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
2.69Expected goals
1.38Newcastle xG
1.31Everton xG
62%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.4 – 1.3 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Everton 38%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Everton?
Newcastle vs Everton (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
