Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Chelsea to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelsea to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Sunderland vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelsea travel to face Sunderland on Sunday 8 November in the Premier League, with Stadium of Light the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sunderland are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Chelsea are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Sunderland, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Chelsea, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Manchester United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chelsea, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sunderland.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 1.1 xG, Chelsea 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 22%, draw 21%, Chelsea 57%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Chelsea to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 1–1 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland22%fair 4.47 · @3.75
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.75
Chelsea57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
3.00Expected goals
1.10Sunderland xG
1.90Chelsea xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.1 – 1.9 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelsea 57%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Sunderland vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
