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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Elgin City v Forfar Athletic: numbers & prediction

League Two · Scotland · Borough Briggs
1–1
FT
Elgin City 58%Draw 21%Forfar Athletic 21% Expected goals 2.04 – 1.02
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Elgin City to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultElgin City to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Forfar Athletic travel to face Elgin City on Saturday 8 August in the League Two, with Borough Briggs the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Elgin City are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Forfar Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Elgin City, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Edinburgh City, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Forfar Athletic, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kelty Hearts, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Elgin City 2–0 Forfar Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elgin City 2.0 xG, Forfar Athletic 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Elgin City 58%, draw 21%, Forfar Athletic 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Elgin City or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Elgin City to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elgin City 2–1 Forfar Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elgin City58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.45
Forfar Athletic21%fair 4.81 · @3.60
3.06Expected goals
2.04Elgin City xG
1.02Forfar Athletic xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Elgin City 2.0 – 1.0 Forfar Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Elgin CityForfar Athletic
Attack vs League Two average+13%-26%
Goals conceded vs average-1%+14%
Our expected goals here2.421.03

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElgin City to win ✗58%1.731.85 ▲
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.75
Draw no betElgin City (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapElgin City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreElgin City to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultElgin City ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elgin City / FT Elgin City ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Elgin City – last 6

WLLLLW
1 Aug@ Edinburgh City5–0W
25 Jul@ Hamilton Academical0–5L
18 Julvs Kilmarnock0–1L
14 Julvs Peterhead1–3L
11 Jul@ Raith Rovers1–3L
4 Jul@ Johnstone Burgh3–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Forfar Athletic – last 6

WWLLLL
1 Augvs Kelty Hearts1–0W
25 Julvs Brechin3–1W
21 Jul@ Livingston0–8L
14 Julvs Partick0–4L
11 Jul@ Stenhousemuir0–2L
7 Julvs Peterhead0–3L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Elgin City v Forfar Athletic2–0
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer13832+1927
2Clyde13832+1027
3Elgin City13634+921
4Spartans13535+218
5Kelty Hearts13607-518
6Dumbarton13517-516
7Edinburgh City13553+315
8Stirling Albion13436-1015
9Forfar Athletic13337-1112
10Annan Athletic133010-129

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

On our numbers Elgin City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Forfar Athletic 21%.

How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Our predicted score is Elgin City 2–1 Forfar Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.