Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultKelty Hearts to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceKelty Hearts or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the League Two brings Kelty Hearts against Dumbarton at New Central Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kelty Hearts are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Dumbarton are 6th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kelty Hearts, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Elgin City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Dumbarton, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Edinburgh City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kelty Hearts, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Dumbarton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kelty Hearts 2.1 xG, Dumbarton 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kelty Hearts 65%, draw 21%, Dumbarton 14%.
Lower-risk option: Kelty Hearts or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kelty Hearts to win (65%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kelty Hearts 2–0 Dumbarton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kelty Hearts65%fair 1.54 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.75
Dumbarton14%fair 7.24 · @4.33
2.91Expected goals
2.06Kelty Hearts xG
0.85Dumbarton xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 2.1 – 0.8 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kelty Hearts to win✓
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Kelty Hearts or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Draw no bet
Kelty Hearts (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Kelty Hearts -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Kelty Hearts to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Kelty Hearts ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kelty Hearts / FT Kelty Hearts✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Kelty Hearts – last 6
LWWLLW
15 Aug
@ Elgin City
1–4
L
11 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
4–3
W
8 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ Forfar Athletic
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
21 Jul
vs Brora Rangers
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dumbarton – last 6
LLWLWL
15 Aug
vs Edinburgh City
0–3
L
11 Aug
vs Airdrie United
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Clyde
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ East Kilbride
3–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton.
What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?
Our pick is Kelty Hearts to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?
On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dumbarton 14%.
How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?
Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 2–0 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?
Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
