Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSpartans to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Dumbarton vs Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Dumbarton v Spartans in the League Two, played at Dumbarton Football Stadium. In the table, Dumbarton are 6th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Spartans are 4th (among the top four) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dumbarton, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Stranraer, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Spartans, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Forfar Athletic, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Spartans, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Dumbarton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dumbarton 1.2 xG, Spartans 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dumbarton 22%, draw 13%, Spartans 64%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartans to win (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dumbarton 1–2 Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dumbarton22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
Draw13%fair 7.50 · @3.90
Spartans64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
3.57Expected goals
1.25Dumbarton xG
2.32Spartans xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.2 – 2.3 Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartans to win✗
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Draw no bet
Spartans (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Spartans -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Spartans to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Spartans ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartans / FT Spartans✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Dumbarton – last 6
LLWLDL
12 Sep
@ Stranraer
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Cove Rangers
1–6
L
5 Sep
vs Elgin City
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Annan Athletic
0–2
L
25 Aug
vs Celtic II
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Kelty Hearts
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Spartans – last 6
WLWDWD
12 Sep
vs Forfar Athletic
5–1
W
8 Sep
vs Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Stirling Albion
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Clyde
3–3
D
25 Aug
vs Hearts U21
5–0
W
22 Aug
vs Elgin City
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and Spartans.
Our pick is Spartans to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Spartans?
On our numbers Dumbarton have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Spartans 64%.
How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Spartans?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs Spartans?
Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–2 Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Dumbarton vs Spartans?
Dumbarton vs Spartans (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
