Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Spartans to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartans to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Spartans v Kelty Hearts in the League Two, played at Ainslie Park. In the table, Spartans are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 13 matches; Kelty Hearts are 5th (upper half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spartans, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dundee II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kelty Hearts, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Montrose, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartans 2.6 xG, Kelty Hearts 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartans 64%, draw 16%, Kelty Hearts 20%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Spartans to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartans 2–1 Kelty Hearts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartans64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw16%fair 6.30 · @4.00
Kelty Hearts20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
3.94Expected goals
2.57Spartans xG
1.37Kelty Hearts xG
67%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Spartans 2.6 – 1.4 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartans to win✗
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Draw no bet
Spartans (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Spartans -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
Spartans to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Spartans ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartans / FT Spartans✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Spartans – last 6
WDLWLW
25 Sep
vs Dundee II
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Gala Fairydean Rovers
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Dumbarton
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Forfar Athletic
5–1
W
8 Sep
vs Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Stirling Albion
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 6
WLLLWW
26 Sep
vs Montrose
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Hearts U21
3–5
L
19 Sep
vs Edinburgh City
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Clyde
1–4
L
8 Sep
@ Cumbernauld Colts
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Annan Athletic
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartans and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Spartans have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kelty Hearts 20%.
How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Spartans 2–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
