Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Stranraer to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStranraer to win ✓41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Spartans vs Stranraer: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the League Two brings Spartans against Stranraer at Ainslie Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Spartans are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 13 matches; Stranraer are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Spartans, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Stranraer, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Kilmarnock II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Stranraer, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Spartans.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Stranraer 1–0 Spartans. The last 2 head-to-heads: Spartans 0 wins, Stranraer 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartans 1.8 xG, Stranraer 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartans 38%, draw 21%, Stranraer 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Stranraer to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartans 1–1 Stranraer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartans38%fair 2.64 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Stranraer41%fair 2.43 · @2.90
3.60Expected goals
1.76Spartans xG
1.84Stranraer xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Spartans 1.8 – 1.8 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Spartans vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Spartans have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stranraer 41%.
How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Stranraer?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Stranraer?
Our predicted score is Spartans 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Spartans vs Stranraer?
Spartans vs Stranraer (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
