Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the League Two brings Kelty Hearts against Stranraer at New Central Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Kelty Hearts are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Stranraer are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Kelty Hearts, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Annan Athletic, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Stranraer, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stirling Albion, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Stranraer, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Kelty Hearts.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Stranraer 2–0 Kelty Hearts.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kelty Hearts 1.1 xG, Stranraer 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kelty Hearts 27%, draw 24%, Stranraer 49%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kelty Hearts 1–1 Stranraer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kelty Hearts27%fair 3.65 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Stranraer49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
2.83Expected goals
1.10Kelty Hearts xG
1.74Stranraer xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 1.1 – 1.7 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kelty Hearts
Stranraer
Attack vs League Two average
-15%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-45%
Our expected goals here
0.89
1.68
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stranraer 49%.
How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 1–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
