Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Geumsan Insam travel to face Changwon City on Saturday 4 July in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT.
Current form
Changwon City, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Yeoju Sejong, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.4 xG, Geumsan Insam 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 50%, draw 27%, Geumsan Insam 23%.
Lower-risk option: Changwon City or draw (77%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–1 Geumsan Insam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changwon City50%fair 1.99 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Geumsan Insam23%fair 4.28 · @4.80
2.52Expected goals
1.43Changwon City xG
1.09Geumsan Insam xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.4 – 1.1 Geumsan Insam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win✓
50%
1.99
1.73
Double chance
Changwon City or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Changwon City (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Geumsan Insam +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Changwon City to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✓
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Changwon City – last 6
DDWWWD
27 Jun
vs Yeoju Sejong
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Mokpo City
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Dangjin Citizen
2–1
W
30 May
@ Gangneung City
1–0
W
23 May
vs Ulsan Citizen
2–0
W
16 May
@ Pocheon
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Geumsan Insam
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Geumsan Insam.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Geumsan Insam 23%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Geumsan Insam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea
Haman0
Dangjin Citizen0
Jinju Citizen1
Sejong SA1
Ulsan Citizen2
Chuncheon1