Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaribor to win ✗50% · @1.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Aluminij vs Maribor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aluminij welcome Maribor to Sportni park Aluminij for a 1. SNL fixture on Sunday 19 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Aluminij are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Aluminij, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sheriff Tiraspol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Maribor, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Charlton, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Aluminij.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Maribor 3–0 Aluminij. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aluminij 0 wins, Maribor 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 1.3 xG, Maribor 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 26%, draw 25%, Maribor 50%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 1–1 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminij26%fair 3.92 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @4.10
Maribor50%fair 2.02 · @1.59
2.80Expected goals
1.26Aluminij xG
1.53Maribor xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.3 – 1.5 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Aluminij vs Maribor?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maribor 50%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Maribor?
Aluminij vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
