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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Celje v Mura: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia

Celje

LDLWW
2–2
FT

Mura

LDLLW
Celje 69%Draw 19%Mura 12% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.78
69%
Betarazi pick

Celje to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelje to win ✗69% · @1.33
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Celje vs Mura: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:15 WAT, Friday 17 July: Celje v Mura in the 1. SNL. In the table, Celje are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Mura are 9th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Celje, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to MTK Budapest, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mura, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Beltinci, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Celje, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Mura.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Mura 0–2 Celje.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celje 2.2 xG, Mura 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celje 69%, draw 19%, Mura 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Celje to win (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celje 2–0 Mura. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celje69%fair 1.45 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.80
Mura12%fair 8.44 · @7.70
2.94Expected goals
2.16Celje xG
0.78Mura xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Celje 2.2 – 0.8 Mura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelje to win ✗69%1.451.33
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓88%1.131.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.77
Draw no betCelje (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapCelje -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
First team to scoreCelje to score first ✗70%1.44–
Half-time resultCelje ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celje / FT Celje ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Celje – last 6

LDLWWW
8 Julvs MTK Budapest1–2L
4 Julvs Cukaricki1–1D
1 Julvs HNK Hajduk Split0–1L
27 Junvs Shkendija1–0W
22 May@ Primorje4–0W
19 Apr@ Mura2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mura – last 6

LDLLWW
5 Jul@ Beltinci1–4L
4 Julvs FC Noah1–1D
26 Jun@ Sturm Graz0–5L
22 May@ Radomlje2–3L
17 Mayvs Maribor2–1W
10 May@ Primorje2–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Mura v Celje0–2
Celje vs Mura head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celje vs Mura?

Our pick is Celje to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Celje vs Mura?

On our numbers Celje have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mura 12%.

How many goals will there be in Celje vs Mura?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celje vs Mura?

Our predicted score is Celje 2–0 Mura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Celje vs Mura?

Celje vs Mura (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.