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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aluminij v Celje: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia · Sportni park Aluminij
0–2
FT

Celje

LDDWW
Aluminij 13%Draw 19%Celje 67% Expected goals 0.83 – 2.12
67%
Betarazi pick

Celje to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelje to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Aluminij vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aluminij welcome Celje to Sportni park Aluminij for a 1. SNL fixture on Wednesday 2 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Aluminij are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Celje are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.

Current form

Aluminij, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Koper, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Celje, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Brinje-Grosuplje, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Celje, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Aluminij.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Aluminij 2–1 Celje.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 0.8 xG, Celje 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 13%, draw 19%, Celje 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Celje to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 0–2 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aluminij13%fair 7.44 · @5.20
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.10
Celje67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
2.94Expected goals
0.83Aluminij xG
2.12Celje xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Aluminij 0.8 – 2.1 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelje to win ✓67%1.491.53
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓87%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.57
Draw no betCelje (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapCelje -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
First team to scoreCelje to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultCelje ahead at half-time ✗48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celje / FT Celje ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Aluminij – last 6

LWWDLL
28 Augvs Koper0–1L
21 Augvs Brinje-Grosuplje4–2W
16 Aug@ Radomlje3–1W
9 Augvs Nafta1–1D
2 Aug@ Olimpija Ljubljana0–1L
30 Jul@ Dinamo Tirana0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Celje – last 6

LDDWWW
30 Aug@ Brinje-Grosuplje1–4L
26 Augvs Slovan Bratislava1–1D
19 Aug@ Slovan Bratislava1–1D
15 Aug@ Nafta3–1W
11 Augvs Ararat-Armenia2–0W
8 Augvs Olimpija Ljubljana1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Aluminij v Celje2–1
Aluminij vs Celje head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aluminij vs Celje?

Our pick is Celje to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Aluminij vs Celje?

On our numbers Aluminij have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celje 67%.

How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Celje?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Celje?

Our predicted score is Aluminij 0–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Aluminij vs Celje?

Aluminij vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.