Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOlimpija Ljubljana to win ✓52% · @1.62
Double chanceOlimpija Ljubljana or draw ✓78% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aluminij travel to face Olimpija Ljubljana on Sunday 2 August in the 1. SNL, with Stadion Stozice the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 15 matches; Aluminij are 7th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Olimpija Ljubljana, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mura, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Aluminij, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dinamo Tirana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpija Ljubljana 1.2 xG, Aluminij 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpija Ljubljana 52%, draw 26%, Aluminij 22%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpija Ljubljana or draw (78%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpija Ljubljana 1–0 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpija Ljubljana52%fair 1.91 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.95
Aluminij22%fair 4.63 · @4.50
2.01Expected goals
1.24Olimpija Ljubljana xG
0.77Aluminij xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–113%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Olimpija Ljubljana 1.2 – 0.8 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpija Ljubljana to win✓
52%
1.91
1.62
Double chance
Olimpija Ljubljana or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Draw no bet
Olimpija Ljubljana (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Aluminij +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.40 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Olimpija Ljubljana to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpija Ljubljana / FT Olimpija Ljubljana✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
Olimpija Ljubljana – last 6
LLLDLW
25 Jul
@ Mura
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Bravo
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs LNZ Cherkasy
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Cukaricki
0–3
L
23 Jun
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
4–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aluminij – last 6
LDDLDL
30 Jul
@ Dinamo Tirana
0–3
L
23 Jul
vs Dinamo Tirana
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Maribor
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0–1
L
9 Jul
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
0–0
D
2 Jul
vs FK Partizan
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpija Ljubljana and Aluminij.
What is the prediction for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Olimpija Ljubljana have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aluminij 22%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Olimpija Ljubljana 1–0 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stozice.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
