Aluminij vs Nafta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the 1. SNL brings Aluminij against Nafta at Sportni park Aluminij. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Aluminij are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Nafta are 6th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aluminij, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olimpija Ljubljana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Nafta, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Mura, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nafta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Aluminij.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 1.4 xG, Nafta 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 42%, draw 26%, Nafta 32%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 1–1 Nafta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminij42%fair 2.37 · @2.34
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.50
Nafta32%fair 3.11 · @2.66
2.53Expected goals
1.43Aluminij xG
1.10Nafta xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.4 – 1.1 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aluminij to win✗
42%
2.37
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Draw no bet
Aluminij (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Nafta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Aluminij to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aluminij / FT Aluminij✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Aluminij – last 6
LLDDLD
2 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Dinamo Tirana
0–3
L
23 Jul
vs Dinamo Tirana
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Maribor
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0–1
L
9 Jul
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nafta – last 6
WWLLLW
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Koper
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs FK Partizan
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
0–3
L
31 May
vs Primorje
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminij and Nafta.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aluminij vs Nafta?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nafta 32%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Nafta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Nafta?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Nafta?
Aluminij vs Nafta (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
