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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olimpija Ljubljana v Nafta: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia · Stadion Stozice
1–0
FT

Nafta

LDWWL
Olimpija Ljubljana 60%Draw 22%Nafta 18% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.88
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlimpija Ljubljana to win ✓60% · @1.58
Double chanceOlimpija Ljubljana or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:15 WAT, Friday 21 August: Olimpija Ljubljana v Nafta in the 1. SNL, played at Stadion Stozice. In the table, Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 15 matches; Nafta are 6th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Olimpija Ljubljana, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maribor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Nafta, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Celje, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nafta, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpija Ljubljana 1.8 xG, Nafta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpija Ljubljana 60%, draw 22%, Nafta 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpija Ljubljana 2–0 Nafta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpija Ljubljana60%fair 1.68 · @1.58
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
Nafta18%fair 5.43 · @4.85
2.70Expected goals
1.81Olimpija Ljubljana xG
0.88Nafta xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Olimpija Ljubljana 1.8 – 0.9 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpija Ljubljana to win ✓60%1.681.58
Double chanceOlimpija Ljubljana or draw ✓82%1.231.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.70
Draw no betOlimpija Ljubljana (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapNafta +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreOlimpija Ljubljana to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultOlimpija Ljubljana ahead at half-time ✗42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpija Ljubljana / FT Olimpija Ljubljana ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Olimpija Ljubljana – last 6

DLWLLL
15 Augvs Maribor1–1D
8 Aug@ Celje0–1L
2 Augvs Aluminij1–0W
25 Jul@ Mura0–1L
18 Julvs Bravo0–2L
11 Julvs LNZ Cherkasy0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Nafta – last 6

LDWWLL
15 Augvs Celje1–3L
9 Aug@ Aluminij1–1D
1 Augvs Mura5–2W
26 Jul@ Bravo3–0W
17 Julvs Koper0–2L
11 Julvs FK Partizan1–4L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Olimpija Ljubljana and Nafta.

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

On our numbers Olimpija Ljubljana have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nafta 18%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

Our predicted score is Olimpija Ljubljana 2–0 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stozice.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.