Value bet: Aluminij to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKoper to win ✓46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Aluminij vs Koper: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Friday 28 August: Aluminij v Koper in the 1. SNL, played at Sportni park Aluminij. In the table, Aluminij are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Koper are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aluminij, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Brinje-Grosuplje, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Koper, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mura, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Aluminij 2–4 Koper.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 1.1 xG, Koper 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 33%, draw 21%, Koper 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Aluminij to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 1–1 Koper. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminij33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Koper46%fair 2.19 · @2.02
2.54Expected goals
1.14Aluminij xG
1.40Koper xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.1 – 1.4 Koper expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Aluminij vs Koper?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Koper 46%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Koper?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Koper?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Koper, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Koper?
Aluminij vs Koper (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
