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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maribor v Mura: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia · Ljudski vrt

Maribor

WWDWD
1–1
FT

Mura

LLWLL
Maribor 69%Draw 19%Mura 12% Expected goals 2.12 – 0.74
69%
Betarazi pick

Maribor to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultMaribor to win ✗69% · @1.40
Double chanceMaribor or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Maribor vs Mura: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mura travel to face Maribor on Sunday 6 September in the 1. SNL, with Ljudski vrt the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Maribor are 2nd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Mura are 9th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Maribor, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nafta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Mura, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bravo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Mura.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Mura 2–1 Maribor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maribor 2.1 xG, Mura 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maribor 69%, draw 19%, Mura 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Maribor to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maribor 2–0 Mura. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maribor69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
Mura12%fair 8.55 · @6.50
2.86Expected goals
2.12Maribor xG
0.74Mura xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Maribor 2.1 – 0.7 Mura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaribor to win ✗69%1.451.40
Double chanceMaribor or draw ✓88%1.131.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.75
Draw no betMaribor (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapMaribor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreMaribor to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultMaribor ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maribor / FT Maribor ✗45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

Maribor – last 6

WWDWDW
30 Aug@ Nafta3–2W
23 Augvs Bravo3–1W
15 Aug@ Olimpija Ljubljana1–1D
9 Augvs Koper2–0W
1 Aug@ Celje1–1D
25 Julvs Brinje-Grosuplje3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mura – last 6

LLWLLW
29 Aug@ Bravo0–2L
22 Augvs Koper0–1L
16 Aug@ Brinje-Grosuplje2–1W
10 Augvs Radomlje1–3L
1 Aug@ Nafta2–5L
25 Julvs Olimpija Ljubljana1–0W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Mura v Maribor2–1
Maribor vs Mura head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maribor vs Mura?

Our pick is Maribor to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Maribor vs Mura?

On our numbers Maribor have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mura 12%.

How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Mura?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Mura?

Our predicted score is Maribor 2–0 Mura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Maribor vs Mura?

Maribor vs Mura (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.