Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Radomlje to win @ 2.82 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNafta to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Nafta vs Radomlje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nafta welcome Radomlje for a 1. SNL fixture on Friday 4 September (19:15 WAT). In the table, Nafta are 6th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Radomlje are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Nafta, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Maribor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Radomlje, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olimpija Ljubljana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nafta 1.6 xG, Radomlje 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nafta 41%, draw 21%, Radomlje 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Radomlje to win @2.82 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nafta 1–1 Radomlje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nafta41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.55
Radomlje38%fair 2.61 · @2.82
3.07Expected goals
1.56Nafta xG
1.51Radomlje xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nafta 1.6 – 1.5 Radomlje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nafta to win✓
41%
2.45
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Nafta (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Radomlje +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Nafta to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nafta / FT Nafta✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Nafta – last 6
LLLDWW
30 Aug
vs Maribor
2–3
L
21 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Celje
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Radomlje – last 6
DLWLDL
29 Aug
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Aluminij
1–3
L
10 Aug
@ Mura
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Bravo
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Koper
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Radomlje.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nafta vs Radomlje?
On our numbers Nafta have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Radomlje 38%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Radomlje?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Radomlje?
Our predicted score is Nafta 1–1 Radomlje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Radomlje?
Nafta vs Radomlje (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
