Value bet: Aluminij to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMura to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Mura vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aluminij travel to face Mura on Sunday 13 September in the 1. SNL, with Mestni stadion Fazanerija the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Mura are 9th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Aluminij are 7th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mura, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maribor, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Aluminij, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bravo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aluminij, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Mura.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Aluminij 2–1 Mura.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mura 1.3 xG, Aluminij 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mura 40%, draw 23%, Aluminij 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Aluminij to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mura 1–1 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mura40%fair 2.50 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Aluminij37%fair 2.70 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.28Mura xG
1.22Aluminij xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mura 1.3 – 1.2 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mura vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Mura have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aluminij 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Mura 1–1 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Aluminij?
Mura vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
