Maribor 67%Draw 19%Aluminij 14%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.69
67%
Betarazi pick
Maribor to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaribor to win ✗67% · @1.40
Double chanceMaribor or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Maribor vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Maribor v Aluminij in the 1. SNL, played at Ljudski vrt. In the table, Maribor are 2nd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Aluminij are 7th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Maribor, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Radomlje, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Aluminij, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Mura, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Aluminij.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Aluminij 0–0 Maribor. The last 3 head-to-heads: Maribor 1 win, Aluminij 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maribor 1.9 xG, Aluminij 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maribor 67%, draw 19%, Aluminij 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maribor to win (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maribor 1–0 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maribor67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.20
Aluminij14%fair 7.22 · @6.00
2.56Expected goals
1.87Maribor xG
0.69Aluminij xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Maribor 1.9 – 0.7 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maribor to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Maribor vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Maribor have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aluminij 14%.
How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Maribor 1–0 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Maribor vs Aluminij?
Maribor vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
