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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mura v Celje: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia · Mestni stadion Fazanerija

Mura

LDLLW
0–0
FT

Celje

LLLWL
Mura 17%Draw 20%Celje 63% Expected goals 0.99 – 2.13
63%
Betarazi pick

Celje to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelje to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Mura vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mura welcome Celje to Mestni stadion Fazanerija for a 1. SNL fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Mura are 9th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Celje are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.

Current form

Mura, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Aluminij, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Celje, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Celje 2–2 Mura. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mura 0 wins, Celje 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mura 1.0 xG, Celje 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mura 17%, draw 20%, Celje 63%.
  • Lower-risk option: Celje or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Celje to win (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mura 0–2 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mura17%fair 6.00 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.40
Celje63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
3.12Expected goals
0.99Mura xG
2.13Celje xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Mura 1.0 – 2.1 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelje to win ✗63%1.581.67 ▲
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.73 ▲
Draw no betCelje (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapCelje -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreCelje to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultCelje ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celje / FT Celje ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Mura – last 6

LDLLWL
13 Sepvs Aluminij1–6L
6 Sep@ Maribor1–1D
29 Aug@ Bravo0–2L
22 Augvs Koper0–1L
16 Aug@ Brinje-Grosuplje2–1W
10 Augvs Radomlje1–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Celje – last 6

LLLWLD
16 Sep@ Bayer Leverkusen0–2L
12 Sep@ Bravo1–2L
6 Sepvs Koper0–1L
2 Sep@ Aluminij2–0W
30 Aug@ Brinje-Grosuplje1–4L
26 Augvs Slovan Bratislava1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026Celje v Mura2–2
19 Apr 2026Mura v Celje0–2
Mura vs Celje head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mura vs Celje?

Our pick is Celje to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Mura vs Celje?

On our numbers Mura have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celje 63%.

How many goals will there be in Mura vs Celje?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mura vs Celje?

Our predicted score is Mura 0–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Mura vs Celje?

Mura vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.