Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Celje vs Aluminij: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aluminij travel to face Celje on Saturday 10 October in the 1. SNL – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Celje are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Aluminij are 7th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Celje, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mura, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Aluminij, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Maribor, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Aluminij, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Celje.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Aluminij 0–2 Celje. The last 2 head-to-heads: Celje 1 win, Aluminij 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celje 1.8 xG, Aluminij 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celje 60%, draw 21%, Aluminij 18%.
Lower-risk option: Celje or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celje to win (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celje 1–0 Aluminij. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celje60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.00
Aluminij18%fair 5.41 · @4.75
2.58Expected goals
1.75Celje xG
0.83Aluminij xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Celje 1.8 – 0.8 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Celje to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Celje vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Celje have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aluminij 18%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Celje 1–0 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Aluminij?
Celje vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
