Aluminij 19%Draw 25%Olimpija Ljubljana 56%Expected goals 0.79 – 1.57
81%
Betarazi pick
Olimpija Ljubljana or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Olimpija Ljubljana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOlimpija Ljubljana to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceOlimpija Ljubljana or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aluminij welcome Olimpija Ljubljana to Sportni park Aluminij for a 1. SNL fixture on Friday 16 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Aluminij are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Aluminij, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Celje, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Olimpija Ljubljana, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Mura, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Olimpija Ljubljana, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Aluminij.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Olimpija Ljubljana 1–0 Aluminij.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminij 0.8 xG, Olimpija Ljubljana 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminij 19%, draw 25%, Olimpija Ljubljana 56%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpija Ljubljana or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Olimpija Ljubljana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olimpija Ljubljana or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminij 0–1 Olimpija Ljubljana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminij19%fair 5.27 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Olimpija Ljubljana56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
2.36Expected goals
0.79Aluminij xG
1.57Olimpija Ljubljana xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Aluminij 0.8 – 1.6 Olimpija Ljubljana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our pick is Olimpija Ljubljana or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olimpija Ljubljana 56%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 0–1 Olimpija Ljubljana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana (1. SNL) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
