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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maribor v Celje: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia · Ljudski vrt

Maribor

WDWDW
0–0
FT

Celje

LWDLL
Maribor 42%Draw 21%Celje 37% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.21
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultMaribor to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96

Maribor vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Celje travel to face Maribor on Sunday 18 October in the 1. SNL, with Ljudski vrt the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Maribor are 2nd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Celje are 3rd (among the top four) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Maribor, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brinje-Grosuplje, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Celje, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Omonia Nicosia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Celje.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Celje 1–1 Maribor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maribor 1.3 xG, Celje 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maribor 42%, draw 21%, Celje 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maribor 1–1 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maribor42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Celje37%fair 2.71 · @2.80
2.52Expected goals
1.31Maribor xG
1.21Celje xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Maribor 1.3 – 1.2 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaribor to win ✗42%2.392.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.55
Draw no betMaribor (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapCelje +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreMaribor to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maribor / FT Maribor ✗23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.96–

Recent results

Maribor – last 6

WDWDWW
11 Oct@ Brinje-Grosuplje2–1W
19 Sepvs Aluminij2–2D
13 Sep@ Radomlje3–0W
6 Sepvs Mura1–1D
30 Aug@ Nafta3–2W
23 Augvs Bravo3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Celje – last 6

LWDLLL
15 Octvs Omonia Nicosia0–3L
10 Octvs Aluminij1–0W
20 Sep@ Mura0–0D
16 Sep@ Bayer Leverkusen0–2L
12 Sep@ Bravo1–2L
6 Sepvs Koper0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Celje v Maribor1–1
Maribor vs Celje head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maribor vs Celje?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Maribor vs Celje?

On our numbers Maribor have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Celje 37%.

How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Celje?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Celje?

Our predicted score is Maribor 1–1 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Maribor vs Celje?

Maribor vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.