Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Nafta to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNafta to win ✗41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Mura vs Nafta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the 1. SNL brings Mura against Nafta at Mestni stadion Fazanerija. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Mura are 9th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Nafta are 6th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Mura, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Olimpija Ljubljana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nafta, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bravo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nafta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Mura.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Nafta 5–2 Mura.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mura 1.6 xG, Nafta 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mura 37%, draw 22%, Nafta 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Nafta to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mura 1–1 Nafta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mura37%fair 2.72 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Nafta41%fair 2.41 · @3.00
3.23Expected goals
1.56Mura xG
1.67Nafta xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mura 1.6 – 1.7 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mura vs Nafta?
On our numbers Mura have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nafta 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Nafta?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Nafta?
Our predicted score is Mura 1–1 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Nafta?
Mura vs Nafta (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
