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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Celje v Nafta: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia

Celje

DWDDL
4–0
FT

Nafta

DDDWL
Celje 66%Draw 19%Nafta 15% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.63
66%
Betarazi pick

Celje to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelje to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Celje vs Nafta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Celje v Nafta in the 1. SNL. In the table, Celje are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Nafta are 6th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Celje, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olimpija Ljubljana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nafta, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aluminij, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Nafta 1–3 Celje.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celje 1.7 xG, Nafta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celje 66%, draw 19%, Nafta 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Celje to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celje 1–0 Nafta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celje66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.33
Nafta15%fair 6.63 · @5.50
2.36Expected goals
1.73Celje xG
0.63Nafta xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Celje 1.7 – 0.6 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelje to win ✓66%1.511.44
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.60
Draw no betCelje (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapCelje -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreCelje to score first ✓66%1.50–
Half-time resultCelje ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celje / FT Celje ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Celje – last 6

DWDDLW
28 Oct@ Olimpija Ljubljana1–1D
25 Oct@ Korotan Prevalje2–0W
22 Octvs Red Bull Salzburg2–2D
18 Oct@ Maribor0–0D
15 Octvs Omonia Nicosia0–3L
10 Octvs Aluminij1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nafta – last 6

DDDWLW
28 Octvs Aluminij0–0D
23 Oct@ Triglav1–1D
17 Oct@ Mura0–0D
11 Octvs Bravo1–0W
19 Sep@ Koper0–2L
11 Sep@ Brinje-Grosuplje2–1W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Nafta v Celje1–3
Celje vs Nafta head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celje vs Nafta?

Our pick is Celje to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Celje vs Nafta?

On our numbers Celje have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nafta 15%.

How many goals will there be in Celje vs Nafta?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celje vs Nafta?

Our predicted score is Celje 1–0 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Celje vs Nafta?

Celje vs Nafta (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.