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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maribor v Olimpija Ljubljana: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia · Ljudski vrt

Maribor

LDWDW
0–1
FT
Maribor 39%Draw 23%Olimpija Ljubljana 38% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.16
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Olimpija Ljubljana to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMaribor to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.78

Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the 1. SNL brings Maribor against Olimpija Ljubljana at Ljudski vrt. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Maribor are 2nd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th (among the top four) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Maribor, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Koper, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Olimpija Ljubljana, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Celje, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Olimpija Ljubljana 1–1 Maribor. The last 2 head-to-heads: Maribor 0 wins, Olimpija Ljubljana 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maribor 1.2 xG, Olimpija Ljubljana 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maribor 39%, draw 23%, Olimpija Ljubljana 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Olimpija Ljubljana to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maribor 1–1 Olimpija Ljubljana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maribor39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Olimpija Ljubljana38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
2.35Expected goals
1.19Maribor xG
1.16Olimpija Ljubljana xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Maribor 1.2 – 1.2 Olimpija Ljubljana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaribor to win ✗39%2.562.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.75
Draw no betMaribor (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapOlimpija Ljubljana +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreMaribor to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maribor / FT Maribor ✗21%4.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.78–

Recent results

Maribor – last 6

LDWDWD
27 Oct@ Koper0–4L
18 Octvs Celje0–0D
11 Oct@ Brinje-Grosuplje2–1W
19 Sepvs Aluminij2–2D
13 Sep@ Radomlje3–0W
6 Sepvs Mura1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Olimpija Ljubljana – last 6

DWDWLW
28 Octvs Celje1–1D
16 Oct@ Aluminij1–0W
10 Octvs Mura3–3D
1 Octvs NK Slaven Belupo2–1W
20 Sep@ Bravo1–2L
12 Sep@ Koper3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Olimpija Ljubljana v Maribor1–1
8 Mar 2026Olimpija Ljubljana v Maribor0–0
Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

On our numbers Maribor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olimpija Ljubljana 38%.

How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Our predicted score is Maribor 1–1 Olimpija Ljubljana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.