Polonia Warszawa 45%Draw 27%Ruch Chorzów 28%Expected goals 1.29 – 0.98
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 7 August: Polonia Warszawa v Ruch Chorzów in the I Liga, played at Stadion Polonii. In the table, Polonia Warszawa are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 14 matches; Ruch Chorzów are 5th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Unia Skierniewice, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ruch Chorzów, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Miedz Legnica, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Ruch Chorzów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Warszawa 1.3 xG, Ruch Chorzów 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Warszawa 45%, draw 27%, Ruch Chorzów 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Warszawa 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Warszawa45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Ruch Chorzów28%fair 3.56 · @3.10
2.28Expected goals
1.29Polonia Warszawa xG
0.98Ruch Chorzów xG
59%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.3 – 1.0 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Polonia Warszawa (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Ruch Chorzów +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Polonia Warszawa to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWWLLW
1 Aug
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Pelikan Łowicz
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 6
LLLLWL
2 Aug
vs Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Nieciecza
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Karviná
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ Wieczysta Kraków
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Znicz Pruszków
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ruch Chorzów 28%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
