Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Warszawa travel to face Pogoń Siedlce on Saturday 15 August in the I Liga, with Stadion ROSRRiT the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Polonia Warszawa are 1st (leading the league) with 25.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Polonia Bytom, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ruch Chorzów, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 0.9 xG, Polonia Warszawa 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 20%, draw 19%, Polonia Warszawa 60%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Siedlce20%fair 4.95 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
Polonia Warszawa60%fair 1.65 · @1.70
2.77Expected goals
0.93Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.84Polonia Warszawa xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 0.9 – 1.8 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
60%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Draw no bet
Polonia Warszawa (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Siedlce +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Polonia Warszawa to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Polonia Warszawa ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
DLDWDL
7 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Radomiak Radom
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
DWWWLL
7 Aug
vs Ruch Chorzów
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Warszawa 60%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
