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Arka Gdynia v Polonia Bytom: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion Miejski w Gdyni
1–1
FT
Arka Gdynia 58%Draw 21%Polonia Bytom 21% Expected goals 2.33 – 1.37
79%
Betarazi pick

Arka Gdynia or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceArka Gdynia or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arka Gdynia welcome Polonia Bytom to Stadion Miejski w Gdyni for a I Liga fixture on Sunday 30 August (13:30 WAT). In the table, Arka Gdynia are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Polonia Bytom are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.

Current form

Arka Gdynia, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Miedz Legnica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Polonia Bytom, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Arka Gdynia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Polonia Bytom.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arka Gdynia 2.3 xG, Polonia Bytom 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arka Gdynia 58%, draw 21%, Polonia Bytom 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Arka Gdynia or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arka Gdynia or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arka Gdynia 2–1 Polonia Bytom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arka Gdynia58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Polonia Bytom21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
3.70Expected goals
2.33Arka Gdynia xG
1.37Polonia Bytom xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 2.3 – 1.4 Polonia Bytom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArka Gdynia to win ✗58%1.731.75
Double chanceArka Gdynia or draw ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.60 ▲
Draw no betArka Gdynia (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapPolonia Bytom +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreArka Gdynia to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultArka Gdynia ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Arka Gdynia – last 6

LWLWWW
23 Aug@ Miedz Legnica0–2L
17 Augvs Puszcza Niepołomice3–0W
10 Aug@ Unia Skierniewice0–2L
1 Augvs Stal Rzeszów4–0W
24 Jul@ Odra Opole1–0W
18 Julvs Luzino2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Polonia Bytom – last 6

DLDLWL
22 Augvs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–2D
16 Aug@ Stal Mielec2–5L
7 Augvs Pogoń Siedlce2–2D
31 Jul@ ŁKS Łódź1–2L
24 Julvs Warta Poznań4–3W
11 Jul@ Opava2–3L
2.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Polonia Bytom.

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom?

Our pick is Arka Gdynia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom?

On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Polonia Bytom 21%.

How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom?

Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 2–1 Polonia Bytom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom?

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.