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Pogoń Siedlce v Puszcza Niepołomice: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion ROSRRiT
Pogoń Siedlce 39%Draw 23%Puszcza Niepołomice 37% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.03
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultPogoń Siedlce to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.77

Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pogoń Siedlce welcome Puszcza Niepołomice to Stadion ROSRRiT for a I Liga fixture on Thursday 15 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Puszcza Niepołomice are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Podbeskidzie, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Puszcza Niepołomice, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Polonia Bytom, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Puszcza Niepołomice 3–0 Pogoń Siedlce.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 1.1 xG, Puszcza Niepołomice 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 39%, draw 23%, Puszcza Niepołomice 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Puszcza Niepołomice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogoń Siedlce39%fair 2.53 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Puszcza Niepołomice37%fair 2.68 · @2.45
2.11Expected goals
1.08Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.03Puszcza Niepołomice xG
57%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.1 – 1.0 Puszcza Niepołomice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPogoń Siedlce to win ✗39%2.532.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.70
Draw no betPogoń Siedlce (draw no bet) ✗51%1.94–
Asian handicapPuszcza Niepołomice +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scorePogoń Siedlce to score first45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.77–

Recent results

Pogoń Siedlce – last 6

LWDDWL
9 Oct@ Podbeskidzie0–1L
20 Sepvs Arka Gdynia2–1W
12 Sep@ Chrobry Głogów0–0D
1 Sep@ Kluczevia Stargard2–2D
29 Augvs Stal Mielec2–0W
21 Aug@ Lechia Gdansk0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Puszcza Niepołomice – last 6

LLLLWW
11 Octvs Polonia Bytom0–1L
2 Oct@ Wieczysta Kraków3–4L
18 Sep@ Warta Poznań2–3L
11 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź1–2L
1 Sep@ Wisła Płock II2–0W
29 Augvs Podbeskidzie2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Puszcza Niepołomice v Pogoń Siedlce3–0
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Puszcza Niepołomice 37%.

How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Puszcza Niepołomice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.