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Stal Rzeszów v Polonia Warszawa: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie
2–1
FT
Stal Rzeszów 28%Draw 21%Polonia Warszawa 50% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.66
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Stal Rzeszów v Polonia Warszawa in the I Liga, played at Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie. In the table, Stal Rzeszów are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Polonia Warszawa are 1st (leading the league) with 25.

Current form

Stal Rzeszów, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Podbeskidzie, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Polonia Warszawa, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Górnik Polkowice, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Stal Rzeszów 0–2 Polonia Warszawa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stal Rzeszów 1.2 xG, Polonia Warszawa 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stal Rzeszów 28%, draw 21%, Polonia Warszawa 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stal Rzeszów 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stal Rzeszów28%fair 3.53 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Polonia Warszawa50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
2.83Expected goals
1.17Stal Rzeszów xG
1.66Polonia Warszawa xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Stal Rzeszów 1.2 – 1.7 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗50%1.992.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.50
Draw no betPolonia Warszawa (draw no bet) ✗64%1.56–
Asian handicapStal Rzeszów +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scorePolonia Warszawa to score first ✗55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa ✗30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Stal Rzeszów – last 6

WWLDDL
1 Sepvs Podbeskidzie3–0W
28 Aug@ Unia Skierniewice1–0W
24 Augvs Ruch Chorzów0–1L
14 Aug@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1–1D
8 Aug@ Stal Mielec1–1D
1 Aug@ Arka Gdynia0–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Polonia Warszawa – last 6

WLWLDW
2 Sep@ Górnik Polkowice1–0W
29 Augvs Lechia Gdansk2–4L
22 Aug@ Nieciecza3–1W
15 Aug@ Pogoń Siedlce0–1L
7 Augvs Ruch Chorzów1–1D
1 Augvs Unia Skierniewice3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Stal Rzeszów v Polonia Warszawa0–2
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

More I Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa?

On our numbers Stal Rzeszów have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Polonia Warszawa 50%.

How many goals will there be in Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa?

Our predicted score is Stal Rzeszów 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa?

Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.