Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki travel to face Unia Skierniewice on Sunday 13 September in the I Liga, with Stadion Miejski the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Unia Skierniewice are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Unia Skierniewice, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ruch Chorzów, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Warta Poznań, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Unia Skierniewice 0–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unia Skierniewice 1.2 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unia Skierniewice 37%, draw 21%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unia Skierniewice 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unia Skierniewice37%fair 2.68 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki41%fair 2.41 · @2.90
2.43Expected goals
1.17Unia Skierniewice xG
1.26Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
60%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Unia Skierniewice 1.2 – 1.3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✗
41%
2.41
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.50
Draw no bet
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Unia Skierniewice +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
What is the prediction for Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Unia Skierniewice have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 41%.
How many goals will there be in Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Unia Skierniewice 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
