Stal Mielec 40%Draw 21%Nieciecza 39%Expected goals 1.73 – 1.70
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultStal Mielec to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stal Mielec welcome Nieciecza to Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu for a I Liga fixture on Monday 14 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Stal Mielec are 11th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Nieciecza are 6th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stal Mielec, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Odra Opole, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Nieciecza, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lechia Gdansk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stal Mielec 1.7 xG, Nieciecza 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stal Mielec 40%, draw 21%, Nieciecza 39%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stal Mielec 1–1 Nieciecza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stal Mielec40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Nieciecza39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
3.43Expected goals
1.73Stal Mielec xG
1.70Nieciecza xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Stal Mielec 1.7 – 1.7 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stal Mielec to win✗
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Draw no bet
Stal Mielec (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Nieciecza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Stal Mielec to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stal Mielec / FT Stal Mielec✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Stal Mielec – last 6
DDLLWD
5 Sep
vs Odra Opole
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Górnik Łęczna
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
0–4
L
16 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
5–2
W
8 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nieciecza – last 6
WWDLLL
4 Sep
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ Wigry Suwałki
5–1
W
28 Aug
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Warta Poznań
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stal Mielec and Nieciecza.
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nieciecza 39%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
Our predicted score is Stal Mielec 1–1 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
