Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the I Liga brings Warta Poznań against Arka Gdynia. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Warta Poznań are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Arka Gdynia are 12th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Warta Poznań, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Arka Gdynia, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ŁKS Łódź, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Poznań 1.3 xG, Arka Gdynia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Poznań 35%, draw 22%, Arka Gdynia 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (78%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Poznań 0–1 Arka Gdynia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Poznań35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Arka Gdynia43%fair 2.33 · @2.40
2.71Expected goals
1.27Warta Poznań xG
1.44Arka Gdynia xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Warta Poznań 1.3 – 1.4 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
43%
2.33
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Arka Gdynia (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Warta Poznań +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Arka Gdynia to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Warta Poznań – last 6
LLWLWL
4 Sep
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Chrobry Głogów
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Odra Opole
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Resovia Rzeszów
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DWDLWL
6 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Resovia Rzeszów
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
17 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
3–0
W
10 Aug
@ Unia Skierniewice
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Poznań and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance.
Who will win Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Warta Poznań have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arka Gdynia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Warta Poznań 0–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia?
Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
