Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceArka Gdynia or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogoń Siedlce welcome Arka Gdynia to Stadion ROSRRiT for a I Liga fixture on Sunday 20 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Arka Gdynia are 12th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chrobry Głogów, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arka Gdynia, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Warta Poznań, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 0.7 xG, Arka Gdynia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 19%, draw 24%, Arka Gdynia 57%.
Lower-risk option: Arka Gdynia or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Arka Gdynia to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arka Gdynia or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Arka Gdynia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Siedlce19%fair 5.21 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Arka Gdynia57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
2.13Expected goals
0.69Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.44Arka Gdynia xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–212%
0–012%
1–112%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 0.7 – 1.4 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Arka Gdynia or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Draw no bet
Arka Gdynia (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Siedlce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Arka Gdynia to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
DDWLWD
12 Sep
@ Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Kluczevia Stargard
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Stal Mielec
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
LDWDLW
12 Sep
@ Warta Poznań
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Resovia Rzeszów
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
17 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Arka Gdynia or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arka Gdynia 57%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
