Arka Gdynia 42%Draw 22%Polonia Warszawa 36%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.29
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Warszawa travel to face Arka Gdynia on Saturday 10 October in the I Liga, with Stadion Miejski w Gdyni the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Arka Gdynia are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Polonia Warszawa are 1st (leading the league) with 25.
Current form
Arka Gdynia, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pogoń Siedlce, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jagiellonia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Arka Gdynia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arka Gdynia 1.4 xG, Polonia Warszawa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arka Gdynia 42%, draw 22%, Polonia Warszawa 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arka Gdynia42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Polonia Warszawa36%fair 2.80 · @2.80
2.72Expected goals
1.43Arka Gdynia xG
1.29Polonia Warszawa xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.4 – 1.3 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Arka Gdynia (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Warszawa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Arka Gdynia to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Arka Gdynia – last 6
LLDWDL
20 Sep
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Warta Poznań
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Resovia Rzeszów
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWDLWL
3 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Górnik Polkowice
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Polonia Warszawa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
